Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 1.666743 1.897006 2.149499 2.447235 2.789139 3.169966 3.626989
2025-10-26 1.326117 1.626753 1.983379 2.438876 3.007029 3.694712 4.593797
2025-11-02 1.060016 1.383196 1.792350 2.351016 3.098144 4.068656 5.434367
2025-11-09 0.853819 1.173746 1.601734 2.220375 3.098771 4.311772 6.131967
2025-11-16 0.732781 1.054846 1.507266 2.195343 3.226322 4.730968 7.124881
2025-11-23 0.633024 0.949010 1.412486 2.149995 3.309508 5.088046 8.071809
2025-11-30 0.588895 0.917216 1.418802 2.251924 3.623210 5.829244 9.724346
2025-12-07 0.541731 0.873382 1.399102 2.307088 3.865635 6.485259 11.334736
2025-12-14 0.488264 0.812011 1.342568 2.291922 3.984905 6.946846 12.673867
2025-12-21 0.431189 0.737408 1.254521 2.209945 3.973925 7.175048 13.616614
2025-12-28 0.410012 0.721400 1.263571 2.298681 4.279151 8.011330 15.838869
2026-01-04 0.392024 0.708624 1.276151 2.394166 4.607698 8.933480 18.376922
2026-01-11 0.367162 0.681479 1.261257 2.439251 4.851845 9.740027 20.846891
2026-01-18 0.343786 0.654506 1.243625 2.476840 5.086747 10.563744 23.504864
2026-01-25 0.311004 0.605753 1.178584 2.410436 5.096081 10.914901 25.163718
2026-02-01 0.276146 0.549106 1.091654 2.287391 4.966129 10.942622 26.067468
2026-02-08 0.255498 0.519021 1.055135 2.267182 5.060348 11.485780 28.317897
2026-02-15 0.234799 0.486642 1.010324 2.223074 5.093687 11.891967 30.296735
2026-02-22 0.229180 0.485563 1.031644 2.330205 5.496198 13.239453 34.984978
2026-03-01 0.219796 0.475292 1.031782 2.388203 5.788107 14.358887 39.275080
2026-03-08 0.205620 0.452933 1.002615 2.372873 5.895224 15.023722 42.416994
2026-03-15 0.187833 0.420656 0.947615 2.288020 5.812909 15.179313 44.107757
2026-03-22 0.183417 0.418783 0.962925 2.380199 6.208242 16.684611 50.163278